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Old 10-13-2005, 03:52 PM
soah soah is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 112
Default Re: Heavily Critisised but I think Good Play?

In the actual hand, UTG bet $12 on the turn. We'll assume that the third player would not raise the turn if he hadn't paired up... so let's say he just calls. That means Hero is offered 3.5:1 to call the turn. Two of his flush outs pair the board which leaves 7 clean flush outs and 3 clean gutshot outs. So he is 4.2:1 against hitting. So with implied odds this would end up being slightly profitable. But if he hits either of his tainted outs he will most likely end up losing the remainder of his stack. Without actually crunching the numbers, I would imagine that this negates much of his EV.
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