September goals/results and new goals for October

Wow, you are completely correct, and that is why I am setting my goal to 30%. I am setting a goal that both challenges my limits and minimizes the likely hood of luck.

Think it through for a moment, I'm sure we're nearly on the same page. 30% will DEFINITELY have luck in it, but it will also VERY LIKELY have skill involved in it as well. What do you have to say about 18%, at least in the short term?

Edit: To answer your question, I'm not setting it to 80% because logic dictates that you cannot get 40% ROI from skill. It's a disproportionate percentage of luck VS skill where skill impacts the percentage by a smaller margin than luck. Whereas 20% ROI is achievable with skill, so 30% ROI is not disproportionate at all.