#19
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Re: 15/30 KK
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] I don't see how the ace changes much. [/ QUOTE ] I agree with this and think that, given the probability that one of your opponents does not hold an ace, you probably have effective odds for a call down. And in what Party 15 game does a flop 3-bet mean better than top pair? I would estimate it to mean that about 10% of the time. [/ QUOTE ] you misread the action, we are not talking about a 3bet here, we are talking about a check/3bet for value play. There is a big difference. [/ QUOTE ] Agreed, there is a difference. But I don't think there is a reasonable range of hands for EP1 that shows our Hero is anywhere near a 7:1 dog here (on the Turn). Easy call down IMO. [/ QUOTE ] against the typical opponent this is an easy fold imo. This action will almost always mean a set. Against a loose agg or crazy guy this is an easy call down. [/ QUOTE ] Do you think it is reasonably likely a set would c/r this turn to charge EP2 (who appears to be on a draw) the maximum? This factor is what swings me to a call down. |
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