#25
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Re: Looking to Stake Online Players!
not to quibble, but i would say for the average player:
(I agree the following numbers are quite speculative.) 8h +2000 =winning player chance of ~1/12 (in agreement) 8h -2000 =winning player chance of ~1/150 (not in agreement) Note: only %3 of online players are winning players over a multi-year period, %5 for single year as I understand from somewhat reliable sources. I also understand 25-50 is not a normal stake so the ratios may be different as regards to %3 and %5. It seems winning players win at a particular table about %60-%70 of the time. 8 hours is two sessions generaly. so the odds of a winning player losing 2 sessions is about %15 of the time. Even winning players go on tilt so there should be a clumping effect so lets say %20. %3x.2=%.6 according to my way to thinking. I am assuming a 1k win or loss is typical for a 4 hour session at 25-50. (+200 -200 is a little more than typical for 5-10.) |
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