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Believable Representation
I've played against the VT VeryTight player, and has YET to turn over a hand with a card less than Ten. I doubt he's ever raised with AJ. He ROUTINELY checks one pair on the river, no matter what. I've never seen him bet or raise with a straight or flush draw.
I'm not in this one. VT raises from Middle position, gets a loose call and a reasonable call and the BB. Flop is 8h6h2c. VT bets, two calls, BB folds. Turn is 3d. Bet and 2 calls. River is 5h. VT bets, loose folds, and the reasonable player calls. VT turns over AcQc and bitches profusely on how bad the reasonable player must be to pay this one off with pocket 7s. Now while the turn call with 77 was suspect (as was the PF call), nobody worth their salt can even THINK about laying it down on the river. And here's why: VT did not flop a set nor make a straight. He is also VERY unlikely to have made a flush since he doesn't bet flush draws. He would NEVER bet one-pair on the river, especially when he got such a bad river card. This means there is no reasonable hand he can be betting for value on the river. This makes the river bet VERY suspicious and better than even money its a bluff. When bluffing, you need to be able to actually represent a hand. That means there has to be reasonable good hands that you would play the same way as the hand you are conteplating bluffing. - Louie |
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