Question re: EV allins in the first hour of a live tournament

[zoobird]

Short answer - no. Obviously.

But here's a hypothetical to make this more interesting. OP said this was a home tourney where his friend is one of the top 2 or 3. Let's assume that the other 97 players are awful. None have ever read a book on poker, talked with a good player, or been exposed to how to play well in any other way. They will play any hand with a face card, any pair, and the size of their bets always telegraphs the relative strength of their hand. Is it possible that a good player against such weak competition would have so many +EV situations that they could actually do best by avoiding all-ins in order to decrease variance? I think its possible. If not, how about if the other 97 people play completely randomly - any two cards are good and calling vs. raising is random?