Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Other Gambling Games
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #22  
Old 09-27-2005, 06:10 PM
CORed CORed is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 273
Default Re: I\'m having difficulty accepting that I should hit a 16 against a 7

Actually, 16 vs. 10 is very close, with hitting just barely better than standing. 16 vs. 7 is not close. Hitting is much better. I don't have my copy of "Professional Blackjack" handy, so I can't give you exact EV'S.

Like a lot of blackjack basic strategy, this is a choice of evils, both options are -EV, but hitting is better. The reason that 16 vs. 10 is close and 16 vs. 7 isn't is that against a dealer 10, you will frequently lose to a 20 when you hit and don't bust, but against a 7, you will are more likely to beat the dealer's 17. Even though the dealer is more likely to bust with a 7 than with a 10, this does not make up for the higher probability of beating him when you hit and don't bust. 16 vs. 7 is, overall, quite a bit better EV than 16 vs. 10.

A lot of blackjack basic strategy is counter-intuitive. This is one reason that casinos make money off of a game that is nearly even if played correctly. A lot of people just don't believe the strategy charts, and think they can do better by "going with their gut". Also, I think there is a psychological factor. When you bust, the dealer scoops up your cards and money right away, sending a message that you screwed up. When you stand, you feel like you still have a chance, even though you actually lose more often.
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:24 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.