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Wow was FCP wrong
I really started to think about that hand that 2+2 and FCP were disagreeing (A35J on a 2h 4h Jc flop). After all that talk about putting the villain on a range of hands I decided to do exactly that.
I created a spread sheet that has a column for - "all" the hands that the villain could have - how far / ahead hero was to those hands - probability that the villain had that hand Then I started to play around and it was hard for me to make pushing all not +EV. Play around with this spreadsheet and try to find some reasonable probabilities of hands that makes getting all in not profitable. |
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