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Old 09-12-2005, 11:48 PM
KidPokerX KidPokerX is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: San Luis Obispo, California
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Default Countries Invading

Country x is planning to attack country y, and country y is anticipating the attack. Country x can either attack by land or by sea. Country y can either prepare for a land defense or a sea defense. Both countries must choose either an all land or all sea strategy, they may not divide their forces. The following are the probabilities of a successful invasion according to both strategies used.



If x launches an attack by sea and y prepares a defense by sea the probability of a successful invasion is 80%.

If x launches an attack by sea and y prepares a defense by land the probability of a successful invasion is 100%.

If x launches an attack by land and y prepares a defense by land the probability of a successful invasion is 60%.

If x launches an attack by land and y prepares a defense by sea the probability of a successful invasion is 100%.

What should the strategy of country x be, assuming the goal is to maximize the probability of a successful invasion? Assume the goal of country y to be to minimize the probability of a successful invasion. What is the final probability of a successful invasion assuming both utilize an optimal strategy?

[I will post the results after the answers are in]
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