Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #20  
Old 09-10-2005, 01:36 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: Anything that can happen will happen?

Dear remiraz,

[ QUOTE ]
Will the occurance of black swans not contradict probability theory??

[/ QUOTE ]

You are distorting the work of Nassim Taleb [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Black swan events are a particularity of non-finite (or not completely known) sets. It doesn't apply to poker which is a game with, a large, but finite number of states (its set).

Unless you would consider being dealt AA 100 time in a row, a back swan event. I would not, it is a distinct possibility. In fact, it is AS possible as ANY arbitrary sequences of hole cards being.
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:50 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.