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Old 09-07-2005, 07:31 PM
RiverDood RiverDood is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: California
Posts: 113
Default Re: texas shootout: A beatable game??

Here's the acid test:

You have Ah6h.
The house has Ad3c

Who is favored to win??

Set fire to your wallet if you think you're ahead. I just ran the numbers on twodimes.net. You have a 37.7% chance of winning. The house has a 28.55% chance of winning outright and a 33.76% chance of winning by tieing -- which adds up to a 62.3% chance of taking the pot.

You are almost a two-to-one dog on this hand, even though you have the "better" cards.

I tested some other hands, and the risk of a tie/house win is harrowing. We don't see that in regular holdem play because mediocre hands don't play all the way to the river, heads up. But in this game, they do.

Try 76 vs. 72. Try K7 vs. K3.

It's hideous.
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