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OESFD push vs flop min-raise
Villain 1: LAG 36% VPIP/12% PFR/2.0 TAF after 100+ hands
Villain 2 (short stack): LAP 38% VPIP/10% PFR/0.7 TAF after 60+ hands Hero: At this table, Hero was 12% VPIP/7% PFR/3.3 TAF over 180 hands (this hand was probably about half way through the session) Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter MP2 ($32.04) MP3 ($88.83) <font color="#C00000">CO Villain 2 ($7.66)</font> Button ($49.25) <font color="#C00000">Hero ($52.05)</font> BB ($59) UTG ($39.50) UTG+1 ($45.50) <font color="#C00000">UTG+2 Villain 1 ($45.10)</font> MP1 ($46.48) Preflop: Hero is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $0.25. <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+2 Villain 1 calls $2, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, CO Villain 2 calls $2, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero (poster) calls $1.75, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>. Flop: ($8.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#CC3333">Villain 1 raises to $14</font>, Villain 2 calls $5.66 (All-In), <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $45</font>, Villain 1 has 2.51:1 pot odds to call all-in here ... Is Hero's line OK, or would another line have been better considering Hero's position, Villain's stats (no other reads), stack sizes, and action up to this point where Hero goes all in. Anybody just fold to this small raise from UTG+1 with a hand that plays badly out of position like JTs? Preflop, UTG+1 was 17% VPIP / 6% PFR. Hero's main objective with the big reraise to Villain 1's min-raise was to try and fold out Villain 1 if he only had a higher flush draw. Vs TPTK, Hero was a favoite as long as there are 2 cards remaining, so he might as well get it all in here. Vs a set or 2-pair, Hero would still have outs, including 2 killer outs to a straight flush. Thanks. Points to note on possible holdings. vs 99 or 77 (Set, using 99 for this example) cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 9d 9h 573 57.88 417 42.12 0 0.00 0.579 Js Ts 417 42.12 573 57.88 0 0.00 0.421 vs As 7s (Nut flush draw with pair) cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV As 7s 555 56.06 435 43.94 0 0.00 0.561 Js Ts 435 43.94 555 56.06 0 0.00 0.439 vs As Qh (TPTK) cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV As Qh 469 47.37 521 52.63 0 0.00 0.474 Js Ts 521 52.63 469 47.37 0 0.00 0.526 vs 9c 7c (two pair) cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 9c 7c 480 48.48 510 51.52 0 0.00 0.485 Js Ts 510 51.52 480 48.48 0 0.00 0.515 ------------ 3-way vs TPTK and two pair cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV As Qh 148 16.39 755 83.61 0 0.00 0.164 9c 7c 326 36.10 577 63.90 0 0.00 0.361 Js Ts 429 47.51 474 52.49 0 0.00 0.475 3-way vs TPTK and set cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 9d 9h 506 56.04 397 43.96 0 0.00 0.560 As Qh 26 2.88 877 97.12 0 0.00 0.029 Js Ts 371 41.09 532 58.91 0 0.00 0.411 3-way vs set and two pair cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 9d 9h 486 53.82 414 45.85 3 0.33 0.540 9c 7c 1 0.11 899 99.56 3 0.33 0.003 Js Ts 413 45.74 490 54.26 0 0.00 0.457 3-way vs set and nut flush draw & pair cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 9d 9h 518 57.36 385 42.64 0 0.00 0.574 As 7s 149 16.50 754 83.50 0 0.00 0.165 Js Ts 236 26.14 667 73.86 0 0.00 0.261 |
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