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Old 09-05-2005, 09:33 PM
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Default Foxwoods satellite - big mistake?

Fairly certain I'm gonna take a beat down for this, but pushing on certain flush draws seems to be a predisposition of mine.

205 entries, top 3 get 11500 packages, some cash for 4th - 6th...

We are maybe 10 minutes into the tournament and MP3 has been playing very LAG, so I was not surprised to see him call my 4x BB raise...I expected a call with most any two...

Paradise Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t10 (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

UTG (t1500)
UTG+1 (t1500)
UTG+2 (t1280)
MP1 (t1390)
Hero (t1470)
MP3 (t4315)
CO (t1430)
Button (t700)
SB (t2085)
BB (t610)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of t10.
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t80</font>, MP3 calls t80, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls t60.

Flop: (t250) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t1390</font>, MP3 calls t1390, BB calls t530.

Turn: (t3560) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>

River: (t3560) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>

Final Pot: t3560

Interested in how this applies (or not) to general satellite theory where only a few spots pay off - seems like I needed to get chips early and this seemed like as good a spot as any. Contrast and compere with the whole "put your tournament life at stake" and I'm left with a big idunno.

In the end, pushing on what is at best a coinflip and maybe worse makes this feel like a bad line, but I struggle with "pulling the trigger" to get deep. Help?
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