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as you may or may not know, pokermods has a party/skins mod that has an overlay of odds. i don't know how to put up a picture, but here are the odds displayed:
OUTS ODDS 1 45:1 2.2% 2 22:1 4.5% 3 14.3:1 7.0% 4 10.5:1 9.5% 5 8.2:1 12.2% 6 6.7:1 14.9% 7 5.6:1 17.9% 8 4.8:1 20.8% 9 4.1:1 24.4% 10 3.6:1 27.7% 11 3.2:1 31.3% 12 2.8:1 35.7% 13 2.5:1 40% 14 2.2:1 45.5% 15 2.1:1 47.6% 16 1.9:1 52.6% 17 1.7:1 58.8% 18 1.6:1 62.5% ok, my problem is that, say with 15 outs, and 1 card to come (i assume these odds tables are calculated with one card to come), the odds against catching one of your outs is 2.1:1. this means that for every 2.1 times you miss, you catch it once. or, roughly, that you will catch 1/3 of the time. so, where do they come up with a percentage of 47.6%? thanks for any input! |
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