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Old 08-29-2005, 01:18 PM
Hamlet Hamlet is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 3
Default Re: Donkbet by a pro

Let's look at the most likely case. Say the BB has 98. Currently there are 6 big bets in the pot. If you raise, the two behind you will fold, and the BB will likely 3-bet, and you will call hoping to improve. You're getting 3 to 1 on your money for 8 outs. Implied odds are pretty minimal, since only the 3 Kings give you any hope of more than 1 bet on the river.

This is assuming neither opponent behind you has a real hand. If one of them has a flush draw, you're screwed. If the BB has a set, JT, or two pair with the Queen, you're screwed.

I think that for raising to be right, there needs to be some chance you're currently ahead. Would the BB bet QJ or something like AJ of spades?
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