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Am I beat here? (QQ post flop)
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (10 handed) converter
CO (t3254) Button (t1685) SB (t3760) BB (t2483) UTG (t3080) <font color="#C00000">UTG+1 (t3470)</font> <font color="#C00000">Hero (t2263)</font> MP1 (t4430) MP2 (t8030) MP3 (t1465) Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises to t500</font>, Hero calls t500, <font color="#666666">7 folds</font>. Flop: (t1225) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets t1000</font>, Hero ???. Villain had previously limp re-raised 55 all-in UTG against me, and lost, and had built his stack up. Other than that, I only saw him play one hand (his KKKJJ vs AAJJ). Pre-flop, I wanted to make sure that no A or K came on the flop. While the call was 1/4 of my stack, I'd rather confidently fold and have 1500 left if an A or K came, then get in a coin flip and lose it all... so, I smooth-called pre-flop because I wanted to make sure that no A or K came, and then the money would go in. I realize that if I fold after the flop, I have 10xBB. But, I think that is better than 0xBB. However, after the flop, what could I beat with the way he was betting? I could not beat AA, KK, JJJ, 999, which are hands that he could have raised pre-flop with. I could beat AK (although AKc / AQc would be scary), AJ (with AJc being really scary). However, I ruled out JJJ and 999, because I don't think he would bet that much after the flop, he'd probably go for all of my chips with a check-raise. I also think he would straight push all-in after the flop with any Ax flush draw. So, ruling those two hands out, and ruling out the flush draw, I am only losing to AA and KK. With the exception of AJo, what hands can I beat here? What's my play? |
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