Flopped Set - When to slow down

[Dave G.]

I think your thoughts are spot on. However, we can only put him on AA after we've gathered sufficient evidence to do so (in other words, we can't give him credit until he caps the turn).

At the river, it's a matter of calling 1 bet. The pot is ginormous. 25.75 BB when it's to us. We're getting 25.75:1 for our money here. He probably has AA, but even if he has AK one time in 25 it's a profitable call. This is much better than 50/50 at the point that we can consider AA a possibility.