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Old 08-12-2005, 12:51 PM
MLG MLG is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
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Default Re: My bust hand from Sunday\'s PokerStars $500K guaranteed

[ QUOTE ]
Do you believe that given online tournaments that you have to make this type of push in order to be successful? Is it all about hoping that you do get called by someone making a mistake taht you are counting on? or are really just hoping that he folds and you scoop it right then?

[/ QUOTE ]

You still aren't making the conceptual leap. You aren't really hoping anything about specific hands. You aren't saying I will push here because I hope he will call with AJ. You aren't saying I will fold here because he might have AA. You are taking into account all the possible hands your opponent might have and figuring out the action that fairs the best against them as a group.

So, in this particular situations you are saying, if I push here a larger percentage of the time he will fold and I will add slightly more than 20% to my stack. The times I'm called I will most likely only win about 30% of the time (against KK/QQ/AK) although sometimes I will win about 50% of the time (JJ/1010) and If I'm really unlucky I'm pretty much done against AA. Still despite the fact that getting called by this range makes me a 2:1 underdog, I'm sure that the open raiser will fold more than enough to make up for this and the push will on average make me chips. Thats my thought process in that situation, and yes you clearly need to make slike this to be successful in any tournament, not just online.
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