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Old 08-08-2005, 06:38 PM
GrunchCan GrunchCan is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
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Default Re: I think I should check this turn...??

I have a hard time with checking-with-outs, too. Here's my analysis.

This isn't checking with outs, becasue we aren't the button. So we have 3 options: bet, check-call, and check-fold.

Our hand is worth somewhere around 14 outs, maybe a little more.

Check-fold is terrible, since we have the pot odds to continue (by a very wide margin).

Check-call seems reasonable, but with 3 opponents we are close to having an equity edge with 1 card coming. That plus the slight fold equity we have puts us in a range where betting is +EV for value. So I think I like betting here a little more than check-calling, and check-fold is a huge error.
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