#1
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Turn plan
5/10, 6-max
LP (about 50/7 or so) open limps from the CO (we're 5-handed now), I raise on the button with J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], SB (about 30/3, moderately aggro postflop I guess, not big read yet) semi-cold calls, BB folds, limper calls. 3 to the flop for 7 SB's. Flop is 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Checked to me, I bet, SB very quickly calls (I am not much for timing tells but I get a little concerned that he has either trips, a boat, or a flush draw as opposed to peeling with overs or a pair, but I really don't have much to base this on other than paranoia), CO folds. 2 to the turn for 4.5 BB's. Turn is Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB checks, I should...? Obviously if behind I almost always have at least a few outs, 4 if against a K or A high flush, 11 if against a smaller flush, 10 if against trips. I might be able to induce a bluff on the river if I check in addition to getting a free card when behind, but am I going to be ahead often enough that missing a bet here is just too expensive (given that I don't have that great a read)? |
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