Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

[Nicholasp27]

my previous code had gotten maximum negative value that the br could dip, which is basically risk of ruin because i made a fundamental mistake

i've revised it and it now gets the biggest drop over 10k tournaments...it simulates tournaments at a 15/14/13 ratio of 1/2/3 and then tracks the highest the br ever gets and then the furthest it ever gets from the current highest br, thus getting the largest dip, which would allow you to withdraw anything more than that amount of buyins whenver you want



after 10,000 simulations of 10,000 tourney sets, the largest drop was 43 buy-ins...thus if you have a 15/14/13 ACTUAL ratio, then you could deposit 44 buy-ins into your account and withdraw the extra whenever your account goes above that amount


example:
you are a 10+1 player, so you deposit 44*11=$484 into your account. You can now withdraw the extra anytime your account balance goes above $484, bringing the balance back to $484. So if you play for a living, you now know what bankroll you must keep in your account for poker and what winnings you can cash out for food/rent/fun