Let's Try Something New

[VanVeen]

First, the hand:

I raise pot UTG with AdAc. Villain calls from the big blind. We each have >115bb and I have him covered. Flop is:

Ks Td 4d

Villain bets pot. I call.

Turn:

2h

Villain checks. I check.

River:

6s

Villain bets pot. I raise all-in. Villain calls with AhKc. I win.

Assume the following is true: my opponent and I have been playing together on several tables for 6-7hrs tonight. We both know the other is winning significant amounts of money in this game. We do not avoid each other. So, no simple answers, please.

What I want is a set of game conditions (this includes player specific reads and "i know he knows i know..") that would justify taking the line I chose and expecting it to be maximally profitable in the current context. What sort of information could I have gleaned from previous hands that would make this line better than a more conventional one? I often do this. I'll look at a hand that may appear to be misplayed (or at least oddly played) and come up with a set of conditions that could justify the line taken by either player. So, how 'bout it? What could I know about villain? Instead of ascribing plays like this to 'instinct' and 'feel', let's figure out what we're looking for. Good conceptual exercise, no? And of course multiple sets of conditions could justify this line - just make sure they're consistent.