Re: Quiz: test your EV instinct
That's the point of my thread is that it's not just a straight math problem. If it was, there should be a few responses, and a few quoted yes responses. Pure math questions are not interesting posts in my opinion. I'm taking future hands into consideration, more of a meta game approach and with those I can see it being pretty even. Pure 100% math it's a bad call, no doubt, but I feel taking the worst of it for a few bb can be made up on future hands if the conditions are correct, and they may not be here. How much value is there showing you'll pay to draw, it all depends? Maybe he'd get more value folding and showing, then on a future hand calling some big bet on the flop, and then betting big on the turn indicating he had a made hand on the flop. Ideas like that. However, this hand when considered sololy in isolation is -EV.
Looking at this post as pure math is boring. If that were the case he should have just posted, "Hey 2+2 crowd.. what's 2+2?"
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