JJ as an overpair versus tricky LAG villain

rikz · #1 07-07-2005, 02:38 AM

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter

UTG+1 ($50.05)
UTG+2 ($49.25)
MP1 Villain ($39.52)
MP2 ($104.4)
MP3 ($24.6)
Hero ($50)
Button ($112.14)
SB ($94.62)
BB ($50)
UTG ($55.25)

Villain is a LAG. Over 30% V$PIP, 7% PFR, and very aggressive post flop. He has flashed a couple of big bluffs when his opponents folded out. He has also shown down a couple of big hands.

Preflop: Hero is CO with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 1 fold, MP1 Villain calls $0.50, MP2 calls $0.50, MP3 raises to $2, Hero calls $2, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls $1.50, MP1 Villain calls $1.50, MP2 calls $1.50.

I don’t like to reraise a preflop raiser with JJ. I’m playing for a set, or an overpair versus minimal aggression. No read on the MP3 raiser.

Flop: ($10.75) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 players)
UTG+1 checks, Villain bets $5, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $15, UTG+1 folds, Villain calls $10.

Once again, I’m raising here for information, but I just don’t know if that is a good play. Is calling the LAG down better? I should have suspected that whatever he has, he’s going to go to the felt with it. Should I have just pushed or folded given my read on Villain as being a bluff here some percentage of the time? What percentage of the time would he need to be bluffing?

Turn: ($40.75) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Villain checks, Hero checks.

Now I showed weakness after my raise on the flop. Bad idea? Would a bet here be better?

River: ($40.75) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Villain calls $22.52 (All-In), Hero folds.

Too weak? Good fold?

Thanks.

Final Pot: $63.27