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Old 07-03-2005, 07:33 AM
olavfo olavfo is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 303
Default QQ - probably beat but the pot is big

First orbit, no reads.

Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (9 max, 9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 (Villain) calls, MP1 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls, BB calls, <font color="#CC3333">Villain 3-bets</font>, MP1 calls, CO folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, SB calls, BB calls, Villain calls, MP1 calls.

The limp-reraise doesn't make me optimistic, but I go ahead and cap it with 4 callers.

Flop: (21 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villain bets</font>, MP1 folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB folds, BB folds, Villain calls.

I put Villain on AA, KK or possibly QQ or AKs. That's 13 combinations and the best I can do is tie with one of them. I have pot odds to outdraw him though (when including implied odds), so I can't fold.

I decide to go for a free card, since there's a good chance Villain will call and attempt a turn check-raise. I haven't done the EV math, but this should be highly +EV if my assumption about Villain's lust for a check-raise is correct.

Turn: (12.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Villain checks, Hero checks.

River: (12.50 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Villain bets</font>, Hero ?

The big question is: Do I call one more bet here? With the range of hands I put Villain on, there's a 1/13 chance to tie, but that's it. Still, the pot is big and this is Party 1/2 after all, so he could have other hands than AA-QQ, AKs

How was my play of this hand, up to this point?

olavfo
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