I Disregard Clarkrmeister's Theorem (almost)

[Catt]

Villain in this hand is a solid TAG, though a bit tight (it's possible he is 2+2). He is capable of bluff-betting / bluff-raising, but I wouldn't say he uses it often on the river (though he does semi-bluff the turn). He can "make moves" by putting his opponent on a range of hands and playing back regardless of his own cards. He plays post-flop well. He may be experiencing a subtle form of tilt as he and I have tangled HU a few times and I've been lucky enough to either have the best hand and suck bets out of him or have the lesser hand and draw out on the river after aggression early with the lesser hand. His stats are 22/17/2.3 (2.7/3.2/1.3) with a WTSD of 42 and a W$SD of 62 over ~450 hands (mostly datamined). His 3-betting standards are unknown; this is the first hand I have capped pre-flop at this table after raising a fair bit and stealing a lot (been caught with 2nd best once, maybe twice). I have seen him fold to one bet on the river in a biggish pot (I thought it was probably a good fold though I don't know what he had) and I have folded for 1 bet on the river in a biggish pot prior to this hand (I think it was a good fold, though a somewhat fishy donk chatted "lol, not pot commited, eh?").

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, MP calls, BB calls.

Flop: (12.40 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, MP calls.

Turn: (9.20 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, Hero calls.

River: (13.20 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 15.20 BB

Comments on any street appreciated. Especially interested in river play thoughts. I considered bet-call but wouldn't have bet-folded on the river.

My seat selection is less than ideal, but the table was reasonably nice.