Low Ceiling vs High Ceiling-SNG strategy(long)

[Slim Pickens]

There is something we can never quantify: the fraction of the time a given opponent will fold to a given bet, or alternatively, the fraction of the time an opponent will make a given play in a given situation. Accurate estimation of this is critical to the validity of the mathematical answer, but it is difficult, and even more difficult for someone who is good at it to explain how to do it to someone who is not. That's the whole problem with trying to get a purely mathematical answer to a push/fold/moron debate. I agree with the OP 100%, but I'm happy to exist as a Low Ceiling player until I have a better understanding of the game.

SlimP