Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 06-15-2005, 06:51 PM
Jordan Olsommer Jordan Olsommer is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 792
Default Is there something magical about having 2 opponents?

Hi all - I was just mucking around with the ever-so-useful Gocee chart of race probabilities for certain hands versus x number of random hands, to see what kind of equity edge the hands have.

Calculating the edge is simple, of course - e.g. AA has according to the chart an 85.3% probability of holding up over one random hand, and the average hand in a two-handed game has a 50% probability of winning, therefore AA has an equity edge of 35.3%, since it figures to win 35.3% more than its fair share of pots. Right so far?

If so, then a curious thing arises when you look at the data. Here are the preflop equity edges for AA-TT against 1, 2, and 3 opponents.

AA (1) 35.3%, (2) 40.07%, (3) 38.9%
KK (1) 32.4%, (2) 35.57%, (3) 33.2%
QQ (1) 29.9%, (2) 31.57%, (3) 28.5%
JJ (1) 27.5%, (2) 27.87%, (3) 24.2%
TT (1) 25.1%, (2) 24.37%, (3) 20.2%

For AA-JJ, the preflop equity edge actually goes up when you add a second opponent, but then back down when you add a third! (it goes further down with more opponents for 3+ opponents or for TT or lower). Why is this?? What's so special about having two opponents as opposed to one that makes the edge increase?

[Disclaimer: if you find some glaring incredibly boneheaded basic math mistake in my calculations, please point it out quickly before my window of opportunity to delete this post and save face erodes. Thanks [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]]
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:59 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.