Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #13  
Old 05-26-2003, 04:05 AM
clay1m clay1m is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 1
Default Re: a newcomer\'s query - HE folds effecting winning chances

I have a question along the same lines as the one posed about AK vs 77, but I think it would come up more often. For example say that I take a flop with two other players in a ten handed game of limit Holdem. My hand is 2 cards of the same suit. The flop gives me a flush draw. The mathematics you can find in any book on poker theory now tells me that since I have nine outs with 2 cards to come I have approx 35% chance of drawing to my flush (assuming my opponents have none of my suit) It seems to me that this is very unlikely because 7 players were dealt cards that were folded preflop. Surely some of those cards that are now in the muck are my suit. In fact it would be a remote possibility that all of the cards either in the muck or in the hands of my opponents are not of my suit. So if I know that I must make my flush to win and I continue playing based on the fact that the pot is offering me correct odds for a 35% chance of winning could this be an error?
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:31 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.