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#10
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[ QUOTE ]
I am 7.5:1 to hit my set. The vast field of loose limpers is giving me 7:1. With implied odds, this is a +EV play. Plus on the off chance no overs come I am most likely good as well and can try a similar play to knock out hands with one (maybe even two) overcards to improve my chances of winning in the end. [/ QUOTE ] FWIW, the flop will contain unders only 17% of the time (and that includes all xxy combinations that gives a potential loose limper trips). With your opponents holding 14 cards (that they are willing to limp with), I think there's a very, very high probability that all 5 overs are in play. I also think that your implied odds go up when you check, since most low limit players are terrible at reading sets and will pay you off when you hit your set. Against an LP field, I'd rather check than raise out of blind here. |
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