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View Poll Results: Monty Hall Test | |||
Is this a correct statement? | 11 | 45.83% | |
Or is the World's Smartest Woman not as smart as she thinks? | 13 | 54.17% | |
Voters: 24. You may not vote on this poll |
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Monty Hall revisited, with a twist- survey
Don't want to bring this up again, but in the Sunday Parade magazine, someone wrote in about the Monty Hall/intuition "puzzle".
He THEN said that one of his students posed this variation: Suppose I am taking a multiple-choice test. On one question, I randomly choose 1 of 3 answers. Then the instructor says that one of the remaining two choices is incorrect. Should I switch my choice? The "world's smartest woman" (or is that human? I forget what Marilyn vos Savant claims) said that the answer was: it doesn't matter. She did NOT, however, explain her reasoning. What am I missing here, because it seems like the exact same thing? Does it have to do with the way tests are scored, or that one wrong/right answer won't make a difference? Monty Hall Test Extra credit for detailed answers. |
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