Folding AA

[bigpair]

Pretty loose table, 5-6 players to a flop. I figured at least one of the them had a flush on the turn which would give me 4 outs (10.5 to 1) to make a boat on the river. If UTG+1 has the nut flush I have 3 outs getting 14.3 to 1. I was getting 11.25 to 1 odds to call on the turn and I figure my implied odds were at least 14.25 to 1 which makes it a marginal fold. How is my analysis? My play? Your thoughts please. Flame away.

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $0.5.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO (poster) calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls.

Flop: (11.50 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO calls, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 folds, MP1 folds.

Turn: (7.25 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, Hero folds, CO calls.

River: (12.25 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, UTG+1 calls.

Final Pot: 16.25 BB