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Why is this play so wrong?
PartyPoker $33; blinds 150/300
SB 1815 BB/Hero 1895 UTG 1880 BTN 2410 SB posts 150 BB posts 300 dealt to SB -- KQs dealt to BB -- JJ UTG and BTN fold SB pushes allin for 1815 BB calls allin (has SB covered barely) According to ICM, if SB pushes allin with KQs, BB should fold JJ, even though JJ is the favorite and BB will make the money if he wins. Not to mention that BB will be the big stack at the table and have an excellent shot at first. The $EV is $64.68 for a fold and $62.39 for a call, giving a -0.8% difference for a call. Is this a case where ICM should be ignored? |
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