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Old 05-29-2005, 03:52 AM
wuwei wuwei is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: 3/20/77 winterland
Posts: 287
Default Re: Math is stupid

[ QUOTE ]
If you push, you need a FE of 25% to make this play better than folding.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, it appears you're assuming hero is a 60/40 favorite over the range of hands he's raising/calling with here (which seems reasonable).

I want to argue that you have a bit more than 25% FE against a min raiser, but I don't have anything too pursuasive to say on that front. Just a feeling. After looking at these numbers, none of these options looks too appealing. Bleh...

The point made by another poster about his range of pushing hands v. his range of calling hands is important, although hard to really quantify. But note that if he's min raising a lot of hands and only calling with the stronger hands that benefits us on two fronts because it means we have more FE and it means we're a more significant favorite to win once called.
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