To All Philosophy People: The Question of Belief.

[hurlyburly]

It's tangibles vs intangibles. You can believe or disbelieve a given statistic or mathematical probability either before or after you see additional evidence or figure out how it was derived. True nature is available to you. This is where I think the observable world exists. So, yes, you can safely believe something will occur 100% of the time.

When it comes to intangibles, believing has additional options. You can actively believe, passively believe, actively disbelieve and passively disbelieve. None of these four options can be wrong or more right than the other three. I put actively believing and passively disbelieving the furthest apart on the spectrum.

Passively disbelieving can be obtained either when the option is presented and not understood or through ignorance of it's existence, and at those times is not a "belief" at all. Any time the option is presented and refuted or rejected it would be an "active disbelief" and therefore indeed be a "belief".

My point is that you are correct and the other post is wrong.