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value bluffing ... 20-40NL commerce
villian in this hand is just terrible, he loves to draw, and has no concept of pot odds.
if he has a flush or straight draw he's chasing. ok so i have ~12K and villian has ~18K. i'm in the BB w/ J10 spades. four or five limpers to the button who makes it $200. i call as does the villian in EP and we take the flop three handed. pot ~700. flop : K Q 3 two hearts one spade. checked to the button who is a very ABC bad player, he bets $300 i make it $1200, villian calls, button folds. at this point i am about 95% certain the villian is on a flush draw, the guy doesn't really slowplay, and i've never seen him check call w/ top pair. turn comes a blank. i lead for $2K knowing i'm getting called and just hoping the river isn't a heart. river comes a blank and i lead for $5K. |
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