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Stud/8 Single-Table Tourney: 6th Street decision
Middle to late stage of a relatively fiercely-contested Stud/8 SNG, as evidenced by 6 people being alive at the 200/400 level. What should I do on 6th?
Tournament - 7 Card Stud High-Low (200/400), Ante 25, Bring-In 50 (hand converter) Hero: (815) Seat 2: (1662) Seat 3: (1303) Seat 5: (848) Seat 7: (729) Seat 8: (1043) 3rd Street Hero: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___brings-in Seat 2: xx xx 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___calls Seat 3: xx xx Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___calls Seat 5: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___calls Seat 7: xx xx T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___folds Seat 8: xx xx 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___folds 4th Street Hero: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___checks Seat 2: xx xx 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___checks Seat 3: xx xx Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___checks Seat 5: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___checks 5th Street Hero: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___checks Seat 2: xx xx 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___checks Seat 3: xx xx Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___checks Seat 5: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___checks 6th Street Hero: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___??? Seat 2: xx xx 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Seat 3: xx xx Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___bets 400 Seat 5: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___folds There's 350 in the pot prior to seat 3's bet on 6th, since it's been checked down after the 3rd street calls of the bring-in. I've got 11 outs to an 8 low, and 4 more outs to a flush. If seat 2 calls, I'm probably getting proper actual odds to call, although seat 3 could be on a draw to a 7-low and also could be on a spade draw, so I'm not a lock to win one side or the other even if I hit one of my outs. If seat 2 folds and I hit the diamond, the implied odds are very good (if the flush holds up), because an additional 800 will go in the pot on 7th, while if I just hit the low, I'm fairly certain that seat 3, based on his play in previous hands, will call even if he's just sitting with QQ, and we split the pot. So, is it correct to call or to fold? |
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