CardPlayer.com's Daily Poker Quiz

[FishAndChips]

Hello Everyone,

I was on the cardplayer.com website and read today's daily quiz from the book "Middle Limit Hold'em Poker" by Bob Ciaffone. I was wondering what you guys (and gals) thought about it, so here it is:

"Today's Hold'em Poker Topic: Reraising.

Question


A $10-$20 game. You open raise from middle position with the Ah-Th. Only the cutoff calls. There is $55 in the pot and two players. The flop is: Kh-Tc-9h, giving you middle pair and the nut flush-draw. You bet; your opponent raises. What do you do?


Answer

Reraise. This is a heads-up situation. You have the nut flush-draw (9 outs), a middle pair of tens (2 more outs), and an ace overcard (3 more outs). This is 14 outs with two cards to come. You are about even money to make a flush, trips, or two pair by the river, and you will be going all the way with this hand. It is possible that your opponent may decide to fold a weak king, fearing that you have pocket aces, a set of kings, or big slick. Most of the time he will call. If he continues to bet, you have a ton of outs. You have a big enough hand that you should keep your foot on the gas pedal. "
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I like the play, but wonder if calling might be more profitable. Mr. Ciaffone doesn't give any information about the player in the CO, but what range of hands would an average player call a preflop raise with cold, and then raise the preflop raiser on the flop. If your opponent has a pair of Ks or bottom two pair, your pot equity is between 53-49% (depending on his other hole card when having Kings) But if he has 99, TT, KK, K9, KT or even QJ your pot equity is less then 50% making the raise unprofitable. I know that a reraise could buy you a free card if you miss on the turn, but it might not. Conversely, if you make your hand on the turn, the other player may shut down and not allow you to get any raises in. It seems reasonable that if you just call his raise on the flop, he'll maintain his aggression on the later streets even if you make your hand. So what do you think?

Cheers