When you are almost sure. is it enough ?

someguy123 · #1 04-13-2005, 12:24 AM

First post as you see so take it easy with me.

CO is the tightest player at the table, Solid and havea good read from what i can tell. when having a hand CO will not slowplay it. Villian have a VPIP of 15%.

I think my image is TAG, but i have been mixing it up. so you never know.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Button ($2697.14)
SB ($709)
BB ($388.5)
UTG ($1087.5)
Hero ($1574)
CO ($1321.25)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $5.
1 fold, Hero raises to $40, CO calls $40, Button calls $40, 2 folds.

Flop: ($135) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets $120, CO calls $120, Button folds.

Turn: ($375) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $250, CO calls $250.

River: ($875) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero ???

Final Pot: ???

When villian only calls down like this i really have a strong feeling that CO have AK. I might imagine villian would play AQ diffrently plus that i think Villian would respect my turn bet and maybe lay it down. Cause against player that know the game CO plays abit cautiously.

I cant see that there is any chance of Villian having AT, maybe a slight chance that villian holds a set, impoving to an FH or quads.

What should i do on the river ?

All my guts tells me too go allin or bet a big ammount and avoid a split, bad move ?

Im editing this cause it didnt seem enough to me, i am fairly ssure that with a big bet or an allin which is like a big bet cause thats what villian have left. I cant expect to get a call by anthing i beat.

I can see 3 options:

1. So what should be my line Check calling to not risking too much money.
2. bet big to avoid split
3. bet small to get paid off, if villian have AQ or AJ