RedSox rebound

[mrbaseball]

I like Boston at +158 over the Yankees today. In fact this is exactly the kind of play I look for. Pretty much of a coinflip that pays out better than 60%.

Mussina is no longer an ace and more of a veteran journeyman at this point. Wakefield has never been anything but a veteran journeyman.

Last Year Wakefield was 2-0 with a 3.67 era against Yankees. Mussina was 2-1 vs Sox with 3.82 era. Sounds pretty even so far. Boston had slightly better run production than Yankees and Yankees get homefield edge. I look for Boston to rebound and avoid the sweep. Both closers are rattled.

I see this game as a pure 50/50 coinflip that pays 1.58 to 1. As Homer Simpson would say "I like those odds!" It may not come in but it's an incredibly easy play and a huge longterm winner.