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Re: Is it worth it to draw????
If we were to assume that the SB's raising standards are not overly loose we might put him on a range AA-TT, AK. That would give:
3 AA, 1 KK, 6 AK for you to be drawing dead. 3 QQ, 3 JJ, 6 TT to give you bd flush and gshot straight FTW. 5.5 outs with 45% chance of drawing dead, I'd say its probably a fold. I wouldn't mind so much if it wasn't 3-bet PF, perhaps he's a loose raiser, or you were in steal position and thus maybe there's some chance he's on a re-steal which would open up the range of hands he's playing, but here it seems ok to drop it on the flop. If the situation were different and perhaps you had a read that would give you the equity to continue, then I think the turn card helped somewhat, giving you now 13 outs FTW and calling with 6.5:1 seems easy. Thoughts? |
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