99 3-bet PF

[Shillx]

Random thoughts:

1) The problem with raising the turn in most cases like this is that the SB will only bet the turn when he has us in bad shape. So he will fire at the flop with all kinds of hands, but when he is UI on the turn with AK and 3 people calling, he will check. If he bets again, he has a bigger overpair and we are just giving away money by raising.

2) However in this case, waiting for the turn might not be a bad idea. Let's say that the SB checks the turn (when it bricks). If we had to act right behind him, we would be in bad shape because everyone can take a look at the river for one bet. But with 2 people in the middle, we still might be able to get a raise in when the action goes check-bet-call-hero raises or check-check-bet-hero raises and thus put the screws to the SB and his overcards.

3) So in this case I really don't mind waiting until the turn. If we were to act directly behind him, we would need to raise the flop (for value) because we would only be raising him with 2 outs should he bet the turn with a bigger overpair. Interesting hand.

Brad