Expect the unexpected

[mrbaseball]

NCAA Tourney. The big dance. And as always upset city.

Year after year without fail I see guys wandering around the office shaking their heads and muttering "I can't believe so and so lost!" And in addition to the big time losers are the big timers who don't cover while winning getting much more competition than they bargained for.

I solved this mystery years ago by betting all the + points teams in the first rounds on Thursday and Friday. I do it for fun and it is very typically much better than break even.

My theory is the big teams are tight, the little guys have nothing to lose and are loose as can be, the neutral court has a huge leveling factor and there is a whole lot more parity than anyone is ever willing to admit.

For the most part these are 18-20 year olds and anything can happen and usually does. When that kid from Podunk gets hot and hits 12 3's in a row don't forget I told you so [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]