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Further analysis requested.
Hello all -- thanks in advance for your feedback.
Weekly Single Table No Limit Home Tournament 5 Players Remain Chip Leader 35000 2nd 23300 3rd 19000 HERO 13600 Short Stack 5100 BLINDS 500/1000 200 Ante HERO is Big Blind Short Stack - Under The Gun (Just got sucked out on last hand for 13000) Goes ALL-IN for 5100 2nd - FOLD Chip Leader - CALLS 5100 3rd - FOLD HERO - Big Blind for 1000 - Has 99 I have played 50 Tournaments with these guys so I have good read on them all. UTG short stack is the Tightest player in our group, but throws in the towel quick if he gets down short. I figure he is all in with an A or K. Chip Leader is loose. He loves to make loose calls against desperate ALL-IN players. Probably has overcards, middle suited connectors or worse. I RE-RAISE ALL-IN for 8500 more. Chip Leader CALLS. UTG shows A5o Chip Leader shows KQo HERO shows 99 -- I am only a slight favorite (?) Obviously I am looking at whether my play was logical or not, but I am most interested in the evaluation of the Chip Leaders call of my ALL-IN for 8500 more. I figure by the time he has to make his decision there is 25300 in the pot (Antes 1000 + UTG ALL-IN 5100 + Chip Leaders Call 5100 + Small Blind 500 + HEROs ALL-IN 13600). He needs 8500 to call. The pot odds are roughly 3 to 1. He has only over cards and has got to figure he is up against an A or a Pair. In either case he needs atleast a K or Q to improve. 5 Handed there are 10 cards dealt out leaving 42. He has 6 outs to improve. 42/6 the odds are 6 to 1 on him improving. (?) He is 6-to-1 to improve and the pot was only offering 3-to-1 ------> HIS CALL WAS INCORRECT? RESULTS***** A King Flopped and 2 players are out. Last 3 in the money against a giant Chip Leader. Chip Leader looks at me -- shrugs and says, "I was pot committed -- I had to call." ------> This was a stupid thing for him to say (5100 in the pot with 29900 left is not pot committed is it?) I smile and nod. Break it down for me PLEASE. Pot Luck |
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