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Old 03-01-2005, 09:21 AM
jenson jenson is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 7
Default Hand for analysis please

Hi All,

A hand from a $11 SNG on UB that I would like to get some opinions on.

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t10 (9 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

SB (t2025)
BB (t1015)
UTG (t1000)
Hero (t1000)
MP1 (t1000)
MP2 (t990)
MP3 (t1020)
CO <font color="#A500AF">(Villain #1)</font> (t965)
Button (t985)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t50</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, CO <font color="#A500AF">(Villain #1)</font> calls t50, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>.

Flop: (t115) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t115</font>, Villain #1 calls t115.

Turn: (t345) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t200</font>, Villain #1 calls t200.

River: (t745) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villain #1 bets t600 (All-In)</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: t1345

My thoughts:
1. My pre-flop raise of 5 X BB in UTG +1 is good.

2. Flop comes with scare cards. My pot size bet should drive out Villain if he has nothing. He calls so he either has Q or flush draw.

3. Turn brings a heart. Well if he is chasing a flush we'll find out now. My bet here is a little week but I really don't want to waste anymore on this hand because I may already be beat. On the other hand if he has a flush draw I still want him to fold.

4. I check the river and he goes All-In. I know it's weak but I figure I must be beat at this point. He may have had Q the whole time. On the other hand he may have been tempted to call my weak Turn bet and is bluffing on my check on the river.

Questions:
1. Should I have bet on the Turn? If so, what amount?
2. What are the chances he is bluffing on the River? In retrospect I think his All-In bet is too large. Why not value bet here if you really have a Q?
3. Any other thoughts are appreciated.
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