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How much would you bet?
Here are two decisions I had to make in the last few days. I am interested in other opinions. What percentage of your bankroll would you have bet in the following scenarios? I know the "theoretical" answer from an EV perspective, but I am interested in the practical answer of how much you would actually bet. That might or might not be the same as your theoretically max EV.
(1) You find a scalp opportunity where you can earn a 10% return on money wagered. The bets cash in one month. So this is essentially a risk-free 10% return in one month. (2) You find a prop priced at -1000. You know that this prop should be priced at -10000, at a minimum. Again, the bet expires in one month. So here you have a 10% return in one month with the risk of losing your capital being 1% or less. |
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