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Very early in NLHE tourney, everyone still has ~10K, blinds are 50-100. The only person I have any read on is sitting right behind me who has called all preflop action so far, and has gone all the way to the river twice, without calling the river bet. I'll call this person "calling station (CS)" [img]/forums/images/icons/smile.gif[/img]
In middle position, I raise to 300 with AQo, CS calls (surprise!) and BB calls. Pot:950 Flop: 689, rainbow. BB bets 100. The problem is, of course, that I have no read on either the BB or the CS. If I were heads up with the BB, I would probably make a pot sized raise, but I don't see bluffing here to be profitable, because I expect CS to call any action. Folding feels to wimpy to me, so I make the expert play and just call. Much to my surprise, CS folds! Pot: 1150 Turn: 689 6, flush draw now possible. Check, Check. There may be an argument for betting here. River: 689 6 9 I hate this card, but BB checks, and I check behind, seeing no profit in a bet. I'll only be called by a hand that beats me, even though there is the possibility of driving an A out. BB turns over K7 and I take it down. As I see it, this was BB's pot at any time. A larger bet on the flop, or any bet on the turn or river and it's his. Comments? -Oz- |
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