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Ahead enough to push?
This is the 3rd hand of a party 30+3, 730 entrants. When I'm minraised on the flop and there's a caller before it gets back to me. I'm not sure there's much to like about this flop for someone else unless they're holding 88, a flush draw, or don't believe me. I have the A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] so the flush draw's somewhat less likely. The button could plausibly have down to, say, 77, maybe up through TT/JJ, and I suppose he might have been "trapping" with QQ/KK but that's not something I'd expect here. If he doesn't have 88, then UTG+2 either has that or the flush draw (or is making a truly fishy play, and it's not exactly great with 88/flush either).
(I've said 88 instead of "set" through all this because I _really_ don't expect to see 22 or 33, but maybe that's presuming too much.) At this level, this early, is the flop push good? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t15 (10 handed) converter Hero (t1000) MP3 (t1000) CO (t990) Button (t955) SB (t770) BB (t1000) UTG (t1345) UTG+1 (t985) UTG+2 (t970) MP1 (t985) Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls t15, UTG+2 calls t15, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t75</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls t75, SB calls t65, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls t60. Flop: (t330) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> SB checks, UTG+2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t225</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t450</font>, SB folds, UTG+2 calls t450, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t925 (All-In)</font>, Button calls t430 (All-In), UTG+2 folds. Final Pot: t2585 (And this isn't a bad beat post, as I won the hand.) |
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