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Party $100 NL - $1/2 blinds
Hero has posted dead blind UTG. First hand of the night, no read on anyone. Hero has $100 Villain has $114 PF: Hero checks w J8o, EP2,EP3(Villain),button,SB,BB all limp. Pot $12 Flop: JJA (2 of same suit). All check to Villain, who bets $7, folded to Hero who raises to $25, Villain calls. Pot $62 Turn: A What should Hero do, and why? Your thoughts are appreciated. ------------------ My reasoning and actual play follow: Villain bet represents either an A or a J (semibluff flush-draw unlikely with this many players still in pot). Hero's raise represents a J, Villain's call also represents a J. With an 8 kicker, Hero is likely outkicked by Villain--until the A comes on the turn. Now, most likely the 2 hands will tie with FH Jacks over Aces. Hero came out betting $60 on the turn, Villain laid down cursing in the chat line about how lucky I was to hit my 2-outer, and shows KJ. Hero wins the pot. Q: Were the odds of winning the pot outright by betting worth the risk of having the villain show an Ace-high FH? |
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