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Old 01-05-2005, 03:16 AM
JNash JNash is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 22
Default Trips w/ Tricky Turn

Party $100 NL - $1/2 blinds

Hero has posted dead blind UTG. First hand of the night, no read on anyone.

Hero has $100
Villain has $114

PF: Hero checks w J8o, EP2,EP3(Villain),button,SB,BB all limp. Pot $12
Flop: JJA (2 of same suit). All check to Villain, who bets $7, folded to Hero who raises to $25, Villain calls. Pot $62
Turn: A

What should Hero do, and why? Your thoughts are appreciated.

------------------
My reasoning and actual play follow:
Villain bet represents either an A or a J (semibluff flush-draw unlikely with this many players still in pot). Hero's raise represents a J, Villain's call also represents a J. With an 8 kicker, Hero is likely outkicked by Villain--until the A comes on the turn. Now, most likely the 2 hands will tie with FH Jacks over Aces.

Hero came out betting $60 on the turn, Villain laid down cursing in the chat line about how lucky I was to hit my 2-outer, and shows KJ. Hero wins the pot.

Q: Were the odds of winning the pot outright by betting worth the risk of having the villain show an Ace-high FH?
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