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Old 01-04-2005, 03:46 PM
mannika mannika is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: KTown Ghetto
Posts: 291
Default BIG Problem: I\'m running too well

Let me tell you about my big problem. To some of you it may seem absurd. Others may be able to relate.

Long story:
About a week ago, I found $120 worth of bookstore gift cards in my wallet, and ordered a few poker books, including HEFAP, because although I had been a NL50 player up to this point, I wanted to learn to play mid stakes limit better. Anyways, after reading HEFAP, I jumped into the 3/6 limit games at Party, and since then have been on an unbelievable run. In 3 days, 2300 hands at 3/6, i was up almost 230BB. Today, I've started playing some 5/10 6-max and after 230 hands, I'm up 39BB. All in all, I'm up $1750 in 4 days. However, the problem is that I'm almost EXPECTING to flop sets, and hit my gutshots. Reviewing my play at 5/10 6-max, I've realized that some of it is horrible. I'm playing way too aggressive, treating my 4-outers as if they are 10-outers, playing mediocre hands out of position. While I'm still hitting my gutshots and sets this isn't a huge problem, but I am extremely afraid of what is going to happen once I start to run bad, and how this might affect my play and profitability.

Short story:
I've been on a ridiculous run over the past few days, and I've hit so many gutshots and sets that I'm practically expecting them to occur now, and I'm playing accordingly.


Has this happened to anyone else here?
And what do you think I can do, either to immediately repair the problem, or to guard against a potential large downswing?

Even if all you can tell me is to smarten up and start focusing on my play, I would appreciate it. Even though I know statisically that a bad run of cards is no more likely to occur now than it was a month ago, I can't shake the feeling that I'm going to hit a big downswing soon.

Anyways, sorry for the length of this post, and sorry for essentially whining about how good I've been running.
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